Recent Insights
We pride ourselves on customizing investment portfolios for each client based on their respective circumstance, preference, tax situation etc. In addition, we maintain an independent, unconstrained, and overarching view on the market landscape, and publish our related insights on a quarterly basis. Please find a few selected examples below.
Q2 2024
During the second quarter, economic growth slowed and consumption spending moderated, while inflation proved stubborn and job growth moved higher. With the Fed focused on the latter two indicators, expectations for rate cuts decreased and weighed on the majority of stocks, even though a handful of large technology companies once again pushed the S&P 500 higher.
Q1 2024
Momentum from 2023 carried into the new year, with stocks rallying across the globe and many equity markets setting record highs. Bond returns were mixed as rate cut expectations waned amid surprisingly strong economic data and stubbornly elevated C.P.I. levels that drove interest rates higher and prices lower.
Q4 2023
US Equities climbed meaningfully higher for 2023, initially driven by a select few very large “Magnificent 7” benchmark names and Artificial Intelligence enthusiasm. After pulling back in the fall, markets rallied once again in the fourth quarter amid better- than-feared economic and geopolitical headlines as well as a dovish Fed pivot that bolstered investor confidence.
Q3 2023
Despite moderating job growth and inflation during the third quarter, the Fed remained steadfast in their commitment to higher rates for longer. Against that backdrop and after layering on an uninspiring corporate revenue outlook as well as Equity profit taking following a strong start to the year, stocks sold off for the period with notable downside acceleration into quarter end.
Q1 2023
In stark contrast to 2022, both Equity and Fixed Income markets were higher for the first quarter of 2023, leading many to question if reports of the death of the 60/40 portfolio have been grossly exaggerated. Mean reversion fueled Equity strength, particularly in Large Growth names, while higher absolute rate levels, alongside peaking interest rates, buoyed Fixed Income performance.
Q2 2022
Markets accelerated to the downside during the second quarter amid intensifying inflationary concerns, aggressive central bank tightening, and tumbling sentiment. On the heels of first quarter weakness, 2022 now has the dubious distinction of being the only time in half-a-century where both fixed income and equity markets suffered double digit drops during the first six months of the year.
Q1 2022
Global investment markets were pressured for much of the quarter as early profit-taking and portfolio rotation gave way to broad-based selling amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine and intensifying inflation concerns. Notably, while gold and the dollar found support amid this flight Fixed Income suffered its worst losses in two decades as the 10-year US Treasury yield spiked to 2.5%.